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Darren Frequent Visitor
Joined: 11/07/2002 14:36:40 Posts: 23848 Location: Hampshire, UK
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Posted: Wed Sep 28, 2005 9:46 pm Post subject: GPS Users Must Plan For Outages |
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Source ITWeek. Anyone relying on GPS should have a fallback plan says Norman Bonnor, a retired RAF Air Commodore and president of the Royal Institute of Navigation.
"Too many people don't understand its foibles and vulnerabilities," he added.
The GPS system relies on a network of satellites which cannot be repaired once launched and have a limited lifespan. Sixteen of the present 28 satellites were built to last seven and a half years, but are now between eight and 14 years old with twenty-four satellites required for full coverage.
With new satellite launches only only just matching current losses of around two satellites per year the system is already stretched and it would only take the unplanned failure of one or two satellites to bring the GPS system to a stop.
Read the original news item from ITWeek here _________________ Darren Griffin |
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julianbarker Lifetime Member
Joined: Apr 12, 2005 Posts: 431
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Posted: Wed Sep 28, 2005 10:04 pm Post subject: |
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This item is nothing - there are spares in orbit and new sats can be launched without a lot of delay - sats sit in secured hangers in shrink wrap waiting to go up when needed - read the Lockheed website. The worst thing would be to have loads of spares in orbit - they would mean the network of sats would be older and nearer failure than if you send them when you need them.
Also, it is not like a constelation with 22, 20 or even 18 sats would be useless. Yes, the system wold like there to be 12 in view at any time, but you only need three in different parts of the sky to get a very usable fix. |
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mikealder Pocket GPS Moderator
Joined: Jan 14, 2005 Posts: 19638 Location: Blackpool , Lancs
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Posted: Wed Sep 28, 2005 10:15 pm Post subject: |
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julianbarker wrote: | there are spares in orbit and new sats can be launched without a lot of delay - sats sit in secured hangers in shrink wrap waiting to go up when needed - read the Lockheed website. |
Do you think the USA would compromise its UAV programe because without decent GPS they don't navigate or fly where needed to, or their aircraft; be it fighters, bombers or the civil stuff we all use on a regular basis.
I suspect this to be scare mongering to support the European based GPS constalation which is being configured at the moment (securing funds at a political oppertunity ne party conferance time - synical view maybe), the Russians have a system the USA have a system so Europe needs one to ?? at what cost and benefit - Mike |
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lbendlin Pocket GPS Staff
Joined: 02/11/2002 22:41:59 Posts: 11878 Location: Massachusetts, USA
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h5djr Lifetime Member
Joined: Feb 25, 2005 Posts: 228 Location: St Neots Cambs UK
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Posted: Fri Sep 30, 2005 4:23 pm Post subject: |
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Looks to me as though GPS is in safe hands. |
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DennyL Regular Visitor
Joined: Jan 24, 2004 Posts: 114
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Posted: Sat Oct 01, 2005 9:19 pm Post subject: |
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Quote: | Anyone relying on GPS should have a fallback plan |
Just so we know what we are talking about, could anyone propose what such a plan would be? How about:-
- Have a map and compass with you at all times? |
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MKontic Occasional Visitor
Joined: Jun 11, 2005 Posts: 19
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Posted: Thu Oct 06, 2005 1:50 pm Post subject: |
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Wouldn't even go that far Den. In the unlikely event that GPS fails, then simply pop into a petrol station and spend a fiver on a new map. Won't be anywhere near as good as GPS, but by using the map and asking local folk, it will get you to your destination.
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Skippy Pocket GPS Verifier
Joined: 24/06/2003 00:22:12 Posts: 2946 Location: Escaped to the Antipodies! 36.83°S 174.75°E
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Posted: Sat Oct 08, 2005 1:07 am Post subject: |
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Quote: | it would only take the unplanned failure of one or two satellites to bring the GPS system to a stop |
Eh? My understanding is that there are 28 sats in flight with 24 live and 4 hot spares. You receiver will typically track up to 12 sats at one time but only needs 3 sats for a 2D fix or 4 sats for a 3D fix.
How can the failure of 1 or 2 of the 28 sats in orbit "bring the system to a stop"? This bloke sounds like he's talking out his rear end, he should stick to using his sextant. _________________ Gone fishing! |
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JonnyW Occasional Visitor
Joined: Sep 16, 2005 Posts: 39
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Posted: Tue Oct 11, 2005 2:44 pm Post subject: GPS will never fail |
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My opinion is that the Global Positioning System will never fail.
This system is too valuable to the US Government for them to allow any problems or outages to creep in. The USG have recently deployed new satellites into orbit (with more to follow) which will upgrade the current system and provide new satellites in the constellation.
These new satellites will provide 2 additional channels for the US Military (delivering an anti-jam system) and second channel for Civillian receivers.
The US Military alone rely on GPS too heavily to allow ANY failure - with some 94% of all cruise missiles and long range Continental Ballistic Missiles launched in "Operation Shock and Awe" and throughout the Iraq war being GPS guided.
I think we're safe for now and I personally am not too concerned with these claims.
The new GPS system is due to be in place and fully operational around the same time Galileo will be activated for our use, in 2010.
[/u] |
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nej Frequent Visitor
Joined: Jun 16, 2004 Posts: 454 Location: London, Ingerlund
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Posted: Tue Oct 11, 2005 5:30 pm Post subject: |
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Galileo will take a lot of of Europe's reliance when it comes into operation anyway.
GPS is unlikely to fail, what is most likely is that the military would move sats around to give better coverage to specific areas, which would therefore leave areas with less coverage.
Anyway, more to the point, as somebody said earlier, buy a map!
I work in vehicle tracking and during the last Gulf war there was talk of switching of the GPS network. I forwarded a couple of stories on it to our CEO who basically said "not a lot we can do about it" and that's exactly right.
The US military are aware that it's used by a lot of critical things now, and if coverage falls below a certain amount it's classed as something like "hazardously-misleading information" so they take it all very seriously. |
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Darren Frequent Visitor
Joined: 11/07/2002 14:36:40 Posts: 23848 Location: Hampshire, UK
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Posted: Tue Oct 11, 2005 5:56 pm Post subject: |
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nej wrote: | GPS is unlikely to fail, what is most likely is that the military would move sats around to give better coverage to specific areas, which would therefore leave areas with less coverage. |
AIUI, the SV's don't have the option of re-positioning other than small adjustments and the ability to move from stacked spare slots into operational position.
However, whilst I agree that the original news item was rather pessimistic and the actual chances of the network failing are very small, only two years ago we were in the position of coming very close to failure. Not every satellite has a 'hot spare' in orbit, some vehicles are suffering regular failures, others are still in service well past planned life time schedules and delays in the launch programmes mean the network is far behind were it should be in terms of replacements.
I'm sure it'll all work out but if you peruse the Navstar weekly update reports of SV's off-line or having reported issues you'll see that rather than a 21st century network what we do in fact have running above us is one designed in the 70's and launched in the 80's! More Blake's Seven than Star Wars! _________________ Darren Griffin |
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Gmonkey Frequent Visitor
Joined: Oct 17, 2005 Posts: 390 Location: Washington DC
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Posted: Wed Nov 02, 2005 8:49 pm Post subject: |
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DennyL wrote: | Quote: | Anyone relying on GPS should have a fallback plan |
Just so we know what we are talking about, could anyone propose what such a plan would be? How about:-
- Have a map and compass with you at all times? |
! that's too complicated for me |
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